The forecast is now final and will no longer update.
Donald Trump has won the election and will become the 47th president of the United States. 2024forecast.com predicted the winner and the results in 48 out of 50 states correctly, making it one of the best forecasts this election cycle. Read the full analysis to learn how this model did compared to other forecasts and what can be done to make an even better prediction next time.
Kamala Harris has a chance of about 48.0% to win the presidency.
Her forecasted national popular vote is 50.2%.
On average, she wins 269.1 electoral votes.
Donald Trump has a chance of about 51.7% to win the presidency.
His forecasted national popular vote is 48.7%.
On average, he wins 268.9 electoral votes.